Export-Control Impact Simulator
China Gallium & Germanium Export Controls (Aug 2023)
China's Ministry of Commerce and Customs implemented export licensing requirements for gallium and germanium products, effective August 1, 2023. The controls cover 8 gallium-related items (including gallium metal, gallium nitride, and gallium arsenide) and 6 germanium-related items (including germanium metal, germanium dioxide, and germanium epitaxial growth wafers). Exporters must apply to the Ministry of Commerce for licenses, which are reviewed for national security and non-proliferation considerations. China produces approximately 80% of the world's gallium and 60% of its germanium, making these controls a direct leverage point over semiconductor and compound-semiconductor supply chains globally.
Current Status
Suspended (U.S. only). Following U.S.-China trade negotiations, China suspended its export prohibition on gallium and germanium products to the United States until November 27, 2026. Controls toward the Netherlands, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan remain fully in force. The military end-use prohibition applies globally. The U.S. suspension is temporary — the legal controls remain on the books and may be reinstated after November 2026.
Company cascade
Who loses access when this control fires — directly and downstream.
| Status | Company | Layer | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| CUT OFF | Anthropic🇺🇸 United States | AI CONSUMERS | AI safety company; creator of Claude LLM; primary cloud is A… |
| CUT OFF | Apple🇺🇸 United States | EDGE DEVICES | Designs Apple Silicon (M-series, A-series) — TSMC's single l… |
| CUT OFF | ASML🇳🇱 Netherlands | EQUIPMENT | Sole maker of EUV lithography machines |
| CUT OFF | AWS🇺🇸 United States | CLOUD PROVIDERS | World's largest cloud provider and AI infrastructure buyer |
| CUT OFF | Baidu🇨🇳 China | CLOUD PROVIDERS | China's leading AI pioneer; designs Kunlun AI chips (Samsung… |
| CUT OFF | Cerebras Systems🇺🇸 United States | CHIP DESIGNERS | AI chip startup designing the WSE-3 (world's largest chip at… |
| CUT OFF | Cisco Systems🇺🇸 United States | NETWORKING | #2 data center networking vendor; Nexus 9000 series and prop… |
| CUT OFF | Google Cloud🇺🇸 United States | CLOUD PROVIDERS | Hyperscaler deploying custom TPU AI accelerators (v5e via Br… |
| CUT OFF | Groq🇺🇸 United States | CHIP DESIGNERS | AI inference chip company designing LPUs (Language Processin… |
| CUT OFF | MediaTek🇹🇼 Taiwan | CHIP DESIGNERS | World's #1 mobile SoC designer by volume; Dimensity AI chips… |
| CUT OFF | Meta🇺🇸 United States | AI CONSUMERS | One of the world's largest GPU buyers; designing MTIA v2 cus… |
| CUT OFF | Microsoft Azure🇺🇸 United States | CLOUD PROVIDERS | Second-largest cloud; OpenAI exclusive compute partner; depl… |
| CUT OFF | Mistral AI🇫🇷 France | AI CONSUMERS | Leading European frontier AI lab; develops Mistral/Mixtral o… |
| CUT OFF | OpenAI🇺🇸 United States | AI CONSUMERS | Creator of GPT-4 and ChatGPT; exclusive compute partner with… |
| CUT OFF | Oracle Cloud🇺🇸 United States | CLOUD PROVIDERS | Deployed the world's largest single NVIDIA GPU cluster (131,… |
| CUT OFF | Samsung Foundry🇰🇷 South Korea | FOUNDRIES | Second-largest advanced foundry, competing at 3nm |
| CUT OFF | Sumitomo Chemical🇯🇵 Japan | MATERIALS | Key supplier of EUV photoresist and compound semiconductors |
| CUT OFF | Tokyo Electron🇯🇵 Japan | EQUIPMENT | Leading maker of etch and deposition equipment |
| CUT OFF | TSMC🇹🇼 Taiwan | FOUNDRIES | World's largest contract chip manufacturer |
| DEGRADED | AMD🇺🇸 United States | CHIP DESIGNERS | AI GPU designer challenging NVIDIA with MI300X |
| DEGRADED | Amkor Technology🇺🇸 United States | OSAT / PACKAGING | Second-largest OSAT; packages dies for NVIDIA, Qualcomm, App… |
| DEGRADED | ASE Technology🇹🇼 Taiwan | OSAT / PACKAGING | World's largest OSAT; packages AI chip dies from TSMC and Sa… |
| DEGRADED | Biren Technology🇨🇳 China | CHIP DESIGNERS | China's leading GPU startup; BR100 was TSMC-fabbed at 7nm bu… |
| DEGRADED | Broadcom🇺🇸 United States | CHIP DESIGNERS | Custom ASIC and networking chip designer for hyperscalers |
| DEGRADED | CXMT🇨🇳 China | MEMORY (HBM) | China's leading DRAM maker, targeting DDR4/DDR5 at mature no… |
| DEGRADED | Dell Technologies🇺🇸 United States | ENTERPRISE | Major AI server vendor (PowerEdge XE9680); routes NVIDIA, AM… |
| DEGRADED | GlobalFoundries🇺🇸 United States | FOUNDRIES | US-headquartered mature-node foundry (14nm/22FDX) specializi… |
| DEGRADED | Intel🇺🇸 United States | CHIP DESIGNERS | Designs Gaudi 3 AI accelerators and Xeon AI CPUs; TSMC-fabbe… |
| DEGRADED | Intel Foundry🇺🇸 United States | FOUNDRIES | US-based foundry ramping Intel 18A and 3nm nodes |
| DEGRADED | Marvell🇺🇸 United States | CHIP DESIGNERS | Custom AI ASIC and networking chip designer for hyperscalers… |
| DEGRADED | Micron🇺🇸 United States | MEMORY (HBM) | Only US-based DRAM and HBM maker |
| DEGRADED | NTT🇯🇵 Japan | CLOUD PROVIDERS | Japan's largest telco building domestic AI infrastructure |
| DEGRADED | NVIDIA🇺🇸 United States | CHIP DESIGNERS | Dominant AI GPU designer (H100, H200, B200) |
| DEGRADED | OPPO🇨🇳 China | EDGE DEVICES | China's #2 smartphone maker (OPPO/OnePlus/Realme brands); ma… |
| DEGRADED | Qualcomm🇺🇸 United States | CHIP DESIGNERS | Leading mobile SoC and edge AI chip designer (Snapdragon X E… |
| DEGRADED | Rapidus🇯🇵 Japan | FOUNDRIES | Japan's government-backed foundry targeting 2nm by 2027 |
| DEGRADED | Samsung Memory🇰🇷 South Korea | MEMORY (HBM) | World's largest DRAM and NAND supplier, ramping HBM3 |
| DEGRADED | Samsung Mobile🇰🇷 South Korea | EDGE DEVICES | World's largest smartphone maker; uses both Qualcomm Snapdra… |
| DEGRADED | SK Hynix🇰🇷 South Korea | MEMORY (HBM) | Leading HBM3/HBM3E supplier for AI accelerators |
| DEGRADED | SMIC🇨🇳 China | FOUNDRIES | China's largest foundry; capped at 14nm without EUV access; … |
| DEGRADED | SoftBank🇯🇵 Japan | CLOUD PROVIDERS | Japan's largest AI infrastructure investor and GPU buyer |
| DEGRADED | UMC🇹🇼 Taiwan | FOUNDRIES | Taiwan-based mature-node foundry (28nm–40nm) with ~6% global… |
| DEGRADED | Xiaomi🇨🇳 China | EDGE DEVICES | China's #1 smartphone maker by volume; primary MediaTek Dime… |
| DEGRADED | YMTC🇨🇳 China | MEMORY (HBM) | China's largest 3D NAND maker; Entity Listed Dec 2022, prima… |
✓ 3838 unaffected companies (shown for context)▾
| Status | Company | Layer | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Unaffected | Alibaba Cloud🇨🇳 China | CLOUD PROVIDERS | China's #1 cloud provider; deploys Alibaba Hanguang 800 AI c… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Antimony (CN)🇨🇳 China | RAW MATERIALS | Dominant antimony producer for PCB substrate flame retardant… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Applied Materials🇺🇸 United States | EQUIPMENT | Largest semiconductor equipment maker by revenue |
| ✓ Unaffected | Arista Networks🇺🇸 United States | NETWORKING | #1 cloud-scale Ethernet switch vendor; powers AI training cl… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Arm Holdings🇬🇧 United Kingdom | CHIP IP | Dominant CPU/NPU IP licensor; virtually all AI chips in mobi… |
| ✓ Unaffected | ByteDance🇨🇳 China | CLOUD PROVIDERS | TikTok/Douyin parent; one of the world's largest AI compute … |
| ✓ Unaffected | Cadence🇺🇸 United States | EDA TOOLS | Leading EDA software provider; IC design tools (Virtuoso, Ge… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Cambricon🇨🇳 China | CHIP DESIGNERS | China's publicly listed AI chip designer (STAR Market); MLU-… |
| ✓ Unaffected | CoreWeave🇺🇸 United States | CLOUD PROVIDERS | GPU-native cloud provider; operates one of the world's large… |
| ✓ Unaffected | DeepSeek🇨🇳 China | AI CONSUMERS | Chinese AI lab backed by High-Flyer quant fund; developed De… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Entegris🇺🇸 United States | MATERIALS | Critical process materials supplier: CMP slurries, ultra-hig… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Foxconn Industrial Internet (FII)🇹🇼 Taiwan | SERVER ODMs | Foxconn's AI server ODM division; assembles GPU clusters for… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Gallium (CN)🇨🇳 China | RAW MATERIALS | Dominant gallium producer for compound semiconductors and RF… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Germanium (CN)🇨🇳 China | RAW MATERIALS | Dominant germanium producer for SiGe transistors and fiber-o… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Graphite (CN)🇨🇳 China | RAW MATERIALS | Dominant graphite producer for semiconductor crucibles, furn… |
| ✓ Unaffected | High-Purity Quartz (US)🇺🇸 United States | RAW MATERIALS | Unique ultra-pure quartz deposits for fused-silica optics an… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Huawei / HiSilicon🇨🇳 China | CHIP DESIGNERS | China's leading chip designer (Kirin mobile, Ascend AI); on … |
| ✓ Unaffected | Huawei Cloud🇨🇳 China | CLOUD PROVIDERS | China's third-largest cloud provider; runs Huawei Ascend 910… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Ibiden🇯🇵 Japan | MATERIALS | Dominant supplier of IC substrates for advanced packages |
| ✓ Unaffected | JSR Corporation🇯🇵 Japan | MATERIALS | Major EUV and ArF immersion photoresist supplier; taken priv… |
| ✓ Unaffected | KLA🇺🇸 United States | EQUIPMENT | Dominant maker of wafer inspection and metrology tools |
| ✓ Unaffected | Kokusai Electric🇯🇵 Japan | EQUIPMENT | Critical supplier of batch ALD and CVD furnace systems essen… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Lam Research🇺🇸 United States | EQUIPMENT | Leading supplier of etch and deposition equipment |
| ✓ Unaffected | Neon Gas (High-Purity)🇺🇦 Ukraine | RAW MATERIALS | High-purity neon for excimer laser gas mixtures in DUV litho… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Photoresist Precursors (JP)🇯🇵 Japan | RAW MATERIALS | Critical chemical precursors for EUV and ArF photoresist mad… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Quanta Computer🇹🇼 Taiwan | SERVER ODMs | World's largest ODM by revenue; primary AI server manufactur… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Rare Earths (CN)🇨🇳 China | RAW MATERIALS | Dominant refined rare-earth supplier (Nd, Dy for precision e… |
| ✓ Unaffected | SCREEN Holdings🇯🇵 Japan | EQUIPMENT | Leading wafer cleaning and surface treatment equipment maker… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Shin-Etsu Chemical🇯🇵 Japan | MATERIALS | World's largest silicon wafer supplier |
| ✓ Unaffected | Shinko Electric🇯🇵 Japan | MATERIALS | Major IC substrate and lead frame supplier |
| ✓ Unaffected | SUMCO🇯🇵 Japan | MATERIALS | #2 global silicon wafer supplier; duopoly with Shin-Etsu con… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Super Micro🇺🇸 United States | SERVER ODMs | Leading GPU server ODM for AI data centers |
| ✓ Unaffected | Synopsys🇺🇸 United States | EDA TOOLS | Largest EDA software provider; IC design and verification to… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Tencent Cloud🇨🇳 China | CLOUD PROVIDERS | China's #2 cloud provider; major AI GPU buyer pivoting to H2… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Tungsten (CN)🇨🇳 China | RAW MATERIALS | Dominant tungsten producer for chip metallization contacts a… |
| ✓ Unaffected | Vertiv🇺🇸 United States | POWER & COOLING | Critical power and thermal management for AI data centers |
| ✓ Unaffected | Wiwynn🇹🇼 Taiwan | SERVER ODMs | Major ODM server manufacturer for hyperscalers |
| ✓ Unaffected | xAI🇺🇸 United States | AI CONSUMERS | Elon Musk's AI company; built Colossus — world's largest GPU… |
Cascade timeline
How the restriction propagates tier by tier.
- 1
Rule applied
- Restricting country: 🇨🇳 China
- ✂ Rare Earths (CN) → ASML
- ✂ Gallium (CN) → ASML
- ✂ Rare Earths (CN) → Tokyo Electron
- ✂ Gallium (CN) → Sumitomo Chemical
- ✂ Tungsten (CN) → Samsung Foundry
- ✂ Germanium (CN) → Samsung Foundry
- ✂ Germanium (CN) → TSMC
- ✂ Tungsten (CN) → TSMC
- 2
Round 1
- ASML
- Tokyo Electron
- Sumitomo Chemical
- Samsung Foundry
- TSMC
- 3
Round 2
- Baidu
- Apple
- Microsoft Azure
- Google Cloud
- Meta
- MediaTek
- Oracle Cloud
- AWS
- Cisco Systems
- Cerebras Systems
- Groq
- Intel Foundry
- SMIC
- YMTC
- CXMT
- Rapidus
- UMC
- GlobalFoundries
- SK Hynix
- Samsung Memory
- Micron
- NVIDIA
- AMD
- Qualcomm
- Broadcom
- Marvell
- ASE Technology
- Amkor Technology
- Intel
- Biren Technology
- 4
Round 3
- OpenAI
- Mistral AI
- Anthropic
- Xiaomi
- OPPO
- Samsung Mobile
- SoftBank
- NTT
- Dell Technologies
Geographic flow
Explore free-form
Build your own scenario. Both axes are multi-select — add as many countries as you like.
Both Restricting and Target are multi-select chips, not single dropdowns — stack several restrictors against several targets at once.
How do GPU distributors manage export control compliance?
Distributors and hardware vendors must classify each shipment under ECCN, screen denied parties against the BIS Entity List, and maintain audit trails. Modern export compliance software automates these tasks — replacing spreadsheets and government portals.
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