Export-Control Impact Simulator

China Gallium & Germanium Export Controls (Aug 2023)

Suspended (partial)Effective: 2023-08-01 · as of 2026-06-04Read more →

China's Ministry of Commerce and Customs implemented export licensing requirements for gallium and germanium products, effective August 1, 2023. The controls cover 8 gallium-related items (including gallium metal, gallium nitride, and gallium arsenide) and 6 germanium-related items (including germanium metal, germanium dioxide, and germanium epitaxial growth wafers). Exporters must apply to the Ministry of Commerce for licenses, which are reviewed for national security and non-proliferation considerations. China produces approximately 80% of the world's gallium and 60% of its germanium, making these controls a direct leverage point over semiconductor and compound-semiconductor supply chains globally.

Current Status

Suspended (U.S. only). Following U.S.-China trade negotiations, China suspended its export prohibition on gallium and germanium products to the United States until November 27, 2026. Controls toward the Netherlands, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan remain fully in force. The military end-use prohibition applies globally. The U.S. suspension is temporary — the legal controls remain on the books and may be reinstated after November 2026.

19
Companies cut off
Tiers in cascade
44
Companies in cascade

Company cascade

Who loses access when this control fires — directly and downstream.

CLOUD PROVIDERS
CLOUD PROVIDERS
CHIP DESIGNERS
CHIP DESIGNERS
FOUNDRIES
CHIP DESIGNERS
OSAT / PACKAGING
MEMORY (HBM)
CHIP DESIGNERS
CHIP DESIGNERS
CLOUD PROVIDERS
CHIP DESIGNERS
EDGE DEVICES
FOUNDRIES
FOUNDRIES
CLOUD PROVIDERS
FOUNDRIES
EDGE DEVICES
MEMORY (HBM)
3838 unaffected companies (shown for context)
CLOUD PROVIDERS
RAW MATERIALS
CLOUD PROVIDERS
EDA TOOLS
CHIP DESIGNERS
CLOUD PROVIDERS
AI CONSUMERS
MATERIALS
RAW MATERIALS
RAW MATERIALS
RAW MATERIALS
CHIP DESIGNERS
CLOUD PROVIDERS
MATERIALS
MATERIALS
EQUIPMENT
EQUIPMENT
SERVER ODMs
RAW MATERIALS
EQUIPMENT
MATERIALS
MATERIALS
SERVER ODMs
EDA TOOLS
CLOUD PROVIDERS
RAW MATERIALS
POWER & COOLING
SERVER ODMs
AI CONSUMERS

Cascade timeline

How the restriction propagates tier by tier.

  1. 1

    Rule applied

    • Restricting country: 🇨🇳 China
    • Rare Earths (CN) → ASML
    • Gallium (CN) → ASML
    • Rare Earths (CN) → Tokyo Electron
    • Gallium (CN) → Sumitomo Chemical
    • Tungsten (CN) → Samsung Foundry
    • Germanium (CN) → Samsung Foundry
    • Germanium (CN) → TSMC
    • Tungsten (CN) → TSMC
  2. 2

    Round 1

    • ASML
    • Tokyo Electron
    • Sumitomo Chemical
    • Samsung Foundry
    • TSMC
  3. 3

    Round 2

    • Baidu
    • Apple
    • Microsoft Azure
    • Google Cloud
    • Meta
    • MediaTek
    • Oracle Cloud
    • AWS
    • Cisco Systems
    • Cerebras Systems
    • Groq
    • Intel Foundry
    • SMIC
    • YMTC
    • CXMT
    • Rapidus
    • UMC
    • GlobalFoundries
    • SK Hynix
    • Samsung Memory
    • Micron
    • NVIDIA
    • AMD
    • Qualcomm
    • Broadcom
    • Marvell
    • ASE Technology
    • Amkor Technology
    • Intel
    • Biren Technology
  4. 4

    Round 3

    • OpenAI
    • Mistral AI
    • Anthropic
    • Xiaomi
    • OPPO
    • Samsung Mobile
    • SoftBank
    • NTT
    • Dell Technologies

Geographic flow

Explore free-form

Build your own scenario. Both axes are multi-select — add as many countries as you like.

Restricting country
🇨🇳 China
Target country
🇳🇱 Netherlands🇯🇵 Japan🇰🇷 South Korea🇹🇼 Taiwan

Both Restricting and Target are multi-select chips, not single dropdowns — stack several restrictors against several targets at once.

How do GPU distributors manage export control compliance?

Distributors and hardware vendors must classify each shipment under ECCN, screen denied parties against the BIS Entity List, and maintain audit trails. Modern export compliance software automates these tasks — replacing spreadsheets and government portals.

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